German exports rebound in March but industrial orders disappoint

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[May 07, 2024]  By Rachel More
 
(Reuters) -German exports rebounded in March, buoyed by strong U.S. and Chinese demand for German-made goods, but a disappointing month for industrial orders dashed hopes for a swift economic recovery.   

A container ship is unloaded at the harbor of Hamburg, Germany, October 9, 2023, as the German government on March 20, 2024 passed the so-called "national harbor strategy" categorizing several German ports as part of the country's critical infrastructure. REUTERS/Wolfgang Rattay/Files

Germany exported 0.9% more goods in March compared to the previous month, the federal statistics office said on Tuesday, stronger than the 0.4% expected by analysts in a Reuters poll.

This followed a revised 1.6% decline in exports in February, which had prompted Germany's BGA trade association to warn that falling competitiveness and rising protectionism were taking their toll on the export-focused economy.

March exports were buoyed by demand in the United States and China, which climbed 3.6% and 3.7%, respectively.

While the trade rebound spurred optimism, an unexpected fall in industrial orders painted a mixed picture for the economy.

Industrial orders fell 0.4% on the month in March, the statistics office reported, missing a forecast increase of 0.4%.

"The order situation is bringing economic optimists back down to earth," said Alexander Krueger, chief economist at the bank Hauck Aufhaeuser Lampe.

"Exports are maintaining a favorable level. Ultimately, however, it is also the imports that are boosting the trade balance. As things stand, foreign trade will continue to provide growth impetus in the current quarter," Krueger said.

Imports grew 0.3% on the month, the statistics office said, following a revised 3.0% rise in February.

The foreign trade balance showed a surplus of 22.3 billion euros in March, compared with a forecast 22.2 billion euros and 21.4 billion in the previous month.

Commerzbank's Joerg Kraemer said weak industrial orders indicated that gross domestic product would not post strong growth in the second quarter, after Germany dodged a recession in the first three months of the year with 0.2% growth.

(Reporting by Amir Orusov, Anastasiia Kozlova and Rachel MoreEditing by Miranda Murray, Andrew Heavens and Bernadette Baum)

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